Stock Market Trading Strategies - Step One of the Wyckoff Method

In the Wyckoff Course, Wyckoff teaches that thenot being traded can have an influence on the action
most important thing anyone can know about ain the trend that is being traded. However, positions
market or an individual issue is its trend and theshould be opened, held and closed based solely on
position that it occupies in the trend. The trend is thedevelopments in the trend being traded. Wyckoff
line of least resistance. It indicates the direction inwould frown on the idea of using the fact that the
which the price wants to move. Profits are morelong term trend is up to justify taking a short term
likely to be realized when positions are establishedposition on the long side, or any other combination of
that are in harmony with the direction in which theusing the direction of one trend to justify a trade in a
price has already indicated it wants to move.different trend.
Once a trend has been established, the future trendTo be used effectively, trends must be defined
is likely to be the same as the current trend until thecorrectly. Wyckoff tells us that trends are defined by
price reaches a position in that trend or exhibits pricetwo consecutive support points or resistance points
and volume action that indicates that a change in theof equal importance. An up trend traditionally is
direction of the trend should be anticipated.defined by two support points. Down trends are
Wyckoff classifies trends by the direction in whichdefined by two supply points. Trading ranges may be
they point and by the duration for which theydefined by support points or resistance points
endure. From the standpoint of direction, trends aredepending whether they develop after the
either up, down or neutral also known as a tradingcompletion of an advance or the completion of a
range. Up trends are best suited for long positions.decline. Support points combine to form demand line
Down trends are best suited for short positions.for up trends. Resistance points combine to form
Trading ranges lend themselves to both long positionssupply line for down trends. In trading ranges, the
and short positions depending upon the position ofsupport points combine to form support levels and
the price in the trend. Trends come in a wide rangethe resistance points combine to form resistance
of sizes. Trends can emerge and run their courselevels. Trend channels develop when parallel lines are
within the period of one trading session, or they canconstructed through the appropriate points. The
last for years. A market or an individual issue will be inparallel line to a demand line in an up trend is the over
more than one trend at any one time.bought line. The parallel line to a supply line in a down
For trading purposes, Wyckoff identifies four trendstrend is the over sold line. In trading ranges, the
that matter most. There is the immediate trend, theparallel line to a support level is a resistance level and
short term trend, the intermediate trend and the longthe parallel line to a resistance level is a support level.
term trend. When these four trends are all pointed inNot every position in an up trend is suitable for
the same direction, the price is likely to experience itsestablishing a long position. It is also true that not
most dynamic movement. However, profitable tradingevery position in a down trend is suitable for
can consistently be realized even if all four trends areestablishing a short position. Trading ranges may be
not pointed in the same direction.used to establish either long positions or short
The key to success is to have the trend that ispositions. Here again, the position in the trend channel
being traded clearly and correctly defined and todetermines whether long or short positions are
know at all times where the price is in that trend.appropriate. There is one position in all trend channels
Knowing how the other trends are defined and whatthat is generally considered inappropriate for
the position of the price is in those trends can beestablishing positions.
helpful because the position of the price in a trend