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Trading Ideas Market Update

 Article submitted by TRADING-IDEAS.COM, where you can find commentary on stock and bond markets, trading ideas, charts of interest, money flow, short interest data and more.

Market Update (2/18/99) - After several days of profit taking, Dow and NASDAQ might rebound from a technically oversold level.

U.S. stocks rose after several days of profit taking, as bargain hunters pushed Dow up over 100 points. Also, a series of economic reports increased optimism that corporate profits would remain strong. After an early weakness, Dow ended with a gain of 103.16, or 1.12 percent, to 9298.63 while NASDAQ Composite rose 11.64, or 0.52 percent, to 2260.55.

Dow opened lower, but the decline was well contained, which brought bargain hunters pushing Dow into positive territory by 10.30 a.m. Dow moved well into positive territory and remained there throughout the day. At the end, Dow closed with a solid gain of 103.16 points. IBM, McDonalds, Alcoa and General Motors powered Dow higher. Volume on the Big Board was 738 million shares, with up volume exceeding down volume by 1.78:1 ratio. Breadth was positive by net 535 net issues - decent, something we haven't seen for a while. If breadth can improve from here, Dow would have better than a decent chance of overtaking resistance at 9375-9400. Despite falling over 100 points yesterdays, Dow showed a glimmer of hope that it wanted to go higher and that opportunity came early in today's session. Once, Dow was able to overcome early profit taking, there was no stopping and continued to rise. Dow provided support to NASDAQ, which pared its losses and rose late in the session. Dow still remains well below its upper end of its trading range and only a close through that level would improve the technical picture. For the time being, it appears that there are enough buyers, which could push Dow through 9400.

Technology stocks opened lower continuing from yesterday's sell-off led by Microsoft, which fell after IBM said that the company would support Red Hat Software's Linux operating system, which would compete with Windows NT. NASDAQ remained in negative territory for most of the day, but its decline was well contained due to strength in Dow and SPX. NASDAQ was in no real danger of closing below its 50-day moving average and the index closed slightly above that level. The index fell over 10% over the past couple of weeks and short-term technical indicators reached an oversold situation and a rebound from here is a strong possibility. Any rebound in NASDAQ would encounter resistance at 2300-2320. Dell pulled back 20% over the past week or so and held support at its 50-day moving average and a rebound to $90 is likely.

 

 

Disclaimer: The information herein is for informative purposes only and in no event should be construed as a representation by us or as an offer to sell or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. The factual information given is taken from sources we believe to be reliable but is not guaranteed by us and does not purport to be a complete statement or summary of the available data. The opinions expressed should be given only such weight as opinions warrant. Trading-Ideas.com, or one or more of its partners, including the writer of this report, may have a position in any of the securities discussed herein.




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